Monday, July 30, 2018

The seven mountains (7M) cultural influence model, the Eph 1 & 4 fullness of Christ theme and theological concerns

Several years ago now, someone pointed me to the seven mountains model, which I promptly adapted in a modified worldviews-oriented form. As, I have found it a useful framework for understanding how powerful key sectors are for shaping community life and the business/sin as usual agenda in a culture (setting the context for the challenge of change/ reformation/ transformation), 



thus also we see the challenge of change in light of signs of the times:


Where also, in a more theological, adapted form, I found it a very helpful framework for giving a vivid expression to the fullness of Christ vision and linked operational form of the church's discipling the nations mandate in Eph 1:17 - 23 and 4:9 - 24 ff (with a strong side-light from Ac 17 and some impact from Ac 27):



I also tied this back to my 40-years long focus on the six foundational principles of Heb 6:1 - 2:





Where, too, in my Nicene Creed online theology course, I found it very helpful to tie this in with a modified form of Francis Schaeffer's vision of how a culture puts up a roof to "protect" itself from the consequences of a worldview set up in opposition to what can be known of God through the inner life and the world without:




For, obviously, the "roof" shielding business/sin as usual can be envisioned as held up by the seven mountains acting as pillars. Perhaps, even with Wallnau's fortresses manned by "giants" in the land on top of said mountains. This then leads directly to the question of breaking the deceptive arguments, ideologies and worldview frameworks that shield the sin as usual agenda, leading to the need for radical change through:



The implication is, that when the gospel comes to a community, there is a spectrum of responses at individual and collective level. 

Given the parable of sower, seed and soils, we can readily see how some repent deeply and utterly transformationally, some are temporarily moved, some are in a strange half-way house where the fruitfulness of the gospel is choked by the deceitfulness of riches and the cares of this life. Given power systems, agendas, ideologies and centres/pillars/ mountains of influence in the community, there is an overall impact which may change over time. The Acts shows how revival and riot often run in a race in a given community, sometimes leading to grave miscarriages of justice as opponents of the gospel (often for religious or business reasons) carry out vigilantism, mob action or outright lawfare that targets the witness of the gospel.

So, we most likely see at first a counter-culture strategy emerging, as a truly godly remnant under pressure or outright persecution models gospel transformation in a suspicious or outright hostile community. Over decades to generations, there may well be a rising tide as waves of renewal and revival surge into the community. That tide may reach a peak where the community begins to identify itself as Christian, joining Christendom. But of course that brings to bear the complex -- and too often poorly understood -- challenge of the compromises, sins, and blessings of Christendom. Where, too, we face what the letters to the seven churches in The Revelation and the centuries of history in the OT highlight: the repeated rise of heresies, of misleaders and of apostasy leading to cycles of judgement and renewed repentance.

However, as Wallnau and others point out, we must also reckon with an astonishing prophetic preview of and parallel text to the Great Commission of Matt 28:18 - 20:
Isa 2:1 The word [from God] which Isaiah son of Amoz saw [in a vision] concerning [the nation of] Judah and [its capital city] Jerusalem.
2 Now it will come to pass that
In the last days
The mountain of the house of the Lord
Will be [firmly] established as the [a]highest of the mountains,
And will be exalted above the hills;
And all the nations will stream to it. 

3 And many peoples shall come and say,
“Come, let us go up to the mountain of the Lord,
To the house (temple) of the God of Jacob;
That He may teach us His ways
And that we may walk in His paths.”
For the law will go out from Zion
And the word of the Lord from Jerusalem. 

4 And He will judge between the nations,
And will mediate [disputes] for many peoples;
And they will beat their swords into plowshares and their spears into pruning hooks.
Nation will not lift up the sword against nation,
And never again will they learn war. [AMP]
Where, we see in direct (but too often overlooked) parallel:
Matt 28: 18 Jesus came up and said to them, “All authority (all power of absolute rule) in heaven and on earth has been given to Me. 19 Go therefore and make disciples of all the nations [help the people to learn of Me, believe in Me, and obey My words], baptizing them in the name of the Father and of the Son and of the Holy Spirit, 20 teaching them to observe everything that I have commanded you; and lo, I am with you always [remaining with you perpetually—regardless of circumstance, and on every occasion], even to the end of the age.” [AMP]

Where, it is worth repeating one of the above diagrams, first drawing attention to Daniel's prophetic vision of the Mountain of God shattering the rebellious kingdoms of man and becoming the eighth mountain, filling the world with the eternal kingdom:





. . . and:




Where, as well, we must note that the expansion of the church and the witness of the gospel quite literally began from Jerusalem as the Spirit was poured out in power at the fulfillment of Pentecost. In this regard, I draw attention to Jesus' post-resurrection teaching in Ac 1:4 - 8:
Ac 1:While being together and eating with them, He commanded them not to leave Jerusalem, but to wait for what the Father had promised, “Of which,” He said, “you have heard Me speak. For John baptized with water, but you will be baptized and empowered and united with the Holy Spirit, not long from now.”
 
So when they had come together, they asked Him repeatedly, “Lord, are You at this time reestablishing the kingdom and restoring it to Israel?”
He said to them, “It is not for you to know the times or epochs which the Father has fixed by His own authority. But you will receive power and ability when the Holy Spirit comes upon you; and you will be My witnesses [to tell people about Me] both in Jerusalem and in all Judea, and Samaria, and even to the ends of the earth.” [AMP]

Let's add a key insight from Ac 3 on repentance and revival:
 Ac 3:18 . . .  God has fulfilled what He foretold by the mouth of all the prophets, that His Christ (Messiah, Anointed) would suffer.

  19 So repent [change your inner self—your old way of thinking, regret past sins] and return [to God—seek His purpose for your life], so that your sins may be wiped away [blotted out, completely erased], so that times of refreshing [--> revival!] may come from the presence of the Lord [restoring you like a cool wind on a hot day]; 20 and that He may send [to you] Jesus, the Christ, who has been appointed for you, 21 whom heaven must keep until the time for the [complete] restoration of all things about which God promised through the mouth of His holy prophets from ancient time.

  22 Moses said, ‘The Lord God will raise up for you a Prophet [b]like me from your countrymen; you shall listen to Him and obey everything He tells you. 23 And it will be that every person that does not listen to and heed that Prophet will be utterly destroyed from among the people.’

  24 Indeed, all the prophets who have spoken, from Samuel and those who came after him, also announced these days. 25 You are the sons (descendants) of the prophets and [heirs] of the covenant which God made with your fathers, saying to Abraham,And in your seed (descendant) all the families of the earth shall be blessed.’ 26 It was for you first of all that God raised up His Servant and Son [Jesus], and sent Him to bless you by turning every one of you from your wicked ways.” [AMP]

Where also, Eph 1 & 4 directly, explicitly teach:
Eph 1:17 [I always pray] that the God of our Lord Jesus Christ, the Father of glory, may grant you a spirit of wisdom and of revelation [that gives you a deep and personal and intimate insight] into the true knowledge of Him [for we know the Father through the Son]. 18 And [I pray] that the eyes of your heart [the very center and core of your being] may be enlightened [flooded with light by the Holy Spirit], so that you will know and cherish the [f]hope [the divine guarantee, the confident expectation] to which He has called you, the riches of His glorious inheritance in the [g]saints (God’s people), 19 and [so that you will begin to know] what the immeasurable and unlimited and surpassing greatness of His [active, spiritual] power is in us who believe.

 These are in accordance with the working of His mighty strength 20 which He [h]produced in Christ when He raised Him from the dead and seated Him at His own right hand in the heavenly places, 21 far above all rule and authority and power and dominion [whether angelic or human], and [far above] every name that is named [above every title that can be conferred], not only in this age and world but also in the one to come.

  22 And He [i]put all things [in every realm] in subjection under Christ’s feet, and [j]appointed Him as [supreme and authoritative] head over all things in the church, 23 which is His body, the fullness of Him who fills and completes all things in all [believers].

4:(Now this expression, “He ascended,” what does it mean except that He also had previously descended [from the heights of heaven] into the lower parts of the earth? 10 He who descended is the very same as He who also has ascended high above all the heavens, that He [His presence] might fill all things [that is, the whole universe]).

  11 And [His gifts to the church were varied and] He Himself appointed
some as apostles [special messengers, representatives (--> ambassadors of the kingdom)], 
some as prophets [who speak a new message from God to the people], 
some as evangelists [who spread the good news of salvation], and 
some as pastors and teachers [to shepherd and guide and instruct],
   12 [and He did this] to fully equip and perfect the saints (God’s people) for works of service, to build up the body of Christ [the church]; 13 until we all reach oneness in the faith and in the knowledge of the Son of God, [growing spiritually] to become a mature believer, reaching to the measure of the fullness of Christ [manifesting His spiritual completeness and exercising our spiritual gifts in unity].

  14 So that we are no longer children [spiritually immature], tossed back and forth [like ships on a stormy sea] and carried about by every wind of [shifting] doctrine, by the cunning and trickery of [unscrupulous] men, by the deceitful scheming of people ready to do anything [for personal profit].
15 But speaking the truth in love [in all things—both our speech and our lives expressing His truth], let us grow up in all things into Him [following His example] who is the Head—Christ.
16 From Him the whole body [the church, in all its various parts], joined and knitted firmly together by what every joint supplies, when each part is working properly, causes the body to grow and mature, building itself up [b]in [unselfish] love.

17 So this I say, and solemnly affirm together with the Lord [as in His presence], that you must no longer live as the [unbelieving] Gentiles live, in the futility of their minds [and in the foolishness and emptiness of their souls], 18 for their [moral] understanding is darkened and their reasoning is clouded; [they are] alienated and self-banished from the life of God [with no share in it; this is] because of the [willful] ignorance and spiritual blindness that is [deep-seated] within them, because of the hardness and insensitivity of their heart.
19 And they, [the ungodly in their spiritual apathy], having become callous and unfeeling, have given themselves over [as prey] to unbridled sensuality, eagerly craving the practice of every kind of impurity [that their desires may demand].

  20 But you did not learn Christ in this way! 21 If in fact you have [really] heard Him and have been taught by Him, just as truth is in Jesus [revealed in His life and personified in Him], 22 that, regarding your previous way of life, you put off your old self [completely discard your former nature], which is being corrupted through deceitful desires, 23 and be continually renewed in the spirit of your mind [having a fresh, untarnished mental and spiritual attitude], 24 and put on the new self [the regenerated and renewed nature], created in God’s image, [godlike] in the righteousness and holiness of the truth [living in a way that expresses to God your gratitude for your salvation]. [AMP]


Clearly, a seven mountains framework has obvious plausibility as a useful way to capture the power structures, main influence factors, impact of dominant worldviews/business as usual agendas and more leading to understanding the challenge of deep change and it also fits right in with the trajectory of scripture in teaching us regarding the discipling mandate of the church. 

All of which is then immediately relevant to the effective communication of the gospel to and discipling of a given community -- which is where the four R's of revival and reformation take up their own powerful impact with a lot of history going back to the days of the apostles behind it. With, of course, apologetics and communication challenges in their proper place, as well as room to address how government gone wrong can hinder, censor or outright persecute the gospel. 

There is even room to address the vexed question of how economic prosperity poses a double-edged sword, enabling the funding of the church's mission in and from a given community, but also how prosperity can also become a dangerous distractor that allows weeds of worldliness to choke out the inherent fruitfulness of the gospel and the wider word of God.

Somewhere in there, I think it is relevant to look at an extended and corrected form of Schaeffer's vision of the rise of modern/ ultra-modern (aka "post-modern) post-Christian/ Neo-pagan apostasy using his line of despair diagram. I say "corrected" as Schaeffer made an error in his appraisal of Aquinas, one that Catholics are quick to point out. Illustrating:


So far, there should be very little to be seriously concerned over or to be dismissive of. 

So then, why is it that there are sharply dismissive critiques, and why are there deep concerns on the part of those who are obviously generally supportive? 

And, lurking behind, why is it that so many in our region may well nod heads in basic agreement on the fullness of Christ theme, discipleship foundations and the four R's framework, but proceed to do very little about it? (And lurking, what is it like to serve as a policy analyst in a generally Christian Caribbean culture where many power brokers have not been adequately equipped to lead organisations and the community effectively through God-driven prophetic intellectual and cultural leadership such as we see with Joseph, Moses, David, Daniel and Nehemiah etc.?)

In doing a web search on the seven mountains framework yesterday, I ran across some interesting results, which I will now clip. First, from a concerned supporter:
God’s purpose is not only that all of us should individually be saved from our sins, and become His children and citizens in His kingdom, but also that we should influence the world around us in a positive way. Jesus pointed out that we are to be the light and salt of the earth. And these ‘mountains’ represent areas that greatly influence the lives of people. Since it is not the Christian leaders, but the common Christians who are out there in the market place which these mountains represent, it also brings out the point that it is not just the duty of the Christian leaders to carry out the task of reaching out to the masses, but that of every Christian working in every sphere of life . . . . 

Some explained that this was referring to the restoration of the dominion over the world which Adam and Eve had lost because of their sin. Now that Jesus has completed His work of redemption, it has become possible to retake this dominion. For some others, it was an extension to their belief that since Jesus has reversed all the effects of man’s fall, we Christians became eligible for a prosperous and trouble-free life as was the case before the Fall, being the head and not the tail, and this was going to be worked out through Christian involvement in the seven mountains. Some of them focus on the mountain called business which can fund all other mountains. For some other Christians who believed that Christians were not going to be taken to heaven one day, but heaven was going to come down to earth, the cleansing of all the seven mountains would lead to preparing the way for this to happen. For others, this would fulfil their goal of improving the social conditions and the standard of living across the world as Christians got involved strongly in all areas of life. Some others took this as God’s mandate for taking over the government of the world through Christian political leaders so that Jesus can become king on the earth. Etc. 

Many of these people became energised by the belief that God had given this prophetic message at this time for the fulfilment of what God had given each group as its goal. Now, the intensity of their focus on their particular goals has heightened to such an extent that all other things began to fade in value and priority. They began to proclaim separately what came to be known as the ‘dominion gospel’, ‘prosperity gospel’, ‘kingdom of God on earth gospel’, ‘social gospel’, etc. Different ones began to say that their particular goal was the real mandate from God rather than what most people considered as the ‘Great Commission’. Some of them claimed that what God told Adam and Eve to do before the Fall, “Be fruitful and multiply, and fill the earth, and subdue it; and rule over the fish of the sea and over the birds of the sky and over every living thing that moves on the earth,” was the original mandate for man which they lost with the Fall and which Jesus was now restoring.

Clearly, he is concerned about the imbalances and distractions he has seen, setting out to correct such. Indeed, he goes on to note:
There are many Christians who are dedicated to various forms of improving the lot of people on earth, and they are all to be lauded. In fact, it is Christians who have contributed the maximum in health care, education, social changes, etc., especially in needy situations. But we can see that most of these projects started because these Christians were moved by the love of God in their lives and wanted to share it with the others so that they too might come to know God. Over time, many such projects have become mere humanitarian efforts and the Gospel has been left on the roadside.
In other words, the most crucial element of the process of building the kingdom of God is to preach the Gospel and help people to be ‘converted’—not to change their religion, but to get into a proper relationship with God. If this is not done, even though all living conditions on earth have become better, there will still be no building of God’s kingdom. 

So, people who move their attention from changing people’s lives to changing the culture and circumstances of life are actually putting the cart before the horse
Meanwhile, we can -- and should -- take due note that a spirit of anti-Christ driven dominant worldview and ideological/cultural agenda supported by (and protecting) fortresses on the seven key mountains of influence can be major hindrances to the spreading of the gospel in a given community. Such obviously -- and regrettably, many are blind to this -- requires strategic apologetics as a part of the intellectual and cultural leadership we must exhibit as carriers of the Kingdom of God. So, let us duly note:
2 Cor 10: For though we walk in the flesh [as mortal men], we are not carrying on our [spiritual] warfare according to the flesh and using the weapons of man. The weapons of our warfare are not physical [weapons of flesh and blood]. Our weapons are divinely powerful for the destruction of fortresses. 5 We are destroying sophisticated arguments and every exalted and proud thing that sets itself up against the [true] knowledge of God, and we are taking every thought and purpose captive to the obedience of Christ . . . [AMP]

1 Peter 3: 14 But even if you should suffer for the sake of righteousness [though it is not certain that you will], you are still blessed [happy, to be admired and favored by God]. Do not be afraid of their intimidating threats, nor be troubled or disturbed [by their opposition].

  15 But in your hearts set Christ apart [as holy—acknowledging Him, giving Him first place in your lives] as Lord. Always be ready to give a [logical] defense to anyone who asks you to account for the hope and confident assurance [elicited by faith] that is within you, yet [do it] with gentleness and respect.
16 And see to it that your conscience is entirely clear, so that every time you are slandered or falsely accused, those who attack or disparage your good behavior in Christ will be shamed [by their own words]. [AMP]
This then sets a framework for deep concern and correction to seriously flawed hyper-critical arguments such as the following (which I also found yesterday):


Those who follow the seven mountain mandate believe that, in order for Christ to return to earth, the church must take control of the seven major spheres of influence in society for the glory of Christ. Once the world has been made subject to the kingdom of God, Jesus will return and rule the world . . . .
seven sectors of society are thought to mold the way everyone thinks and behaves. So, to tackle societal change, these seven “mountains” must be transformed. The mountains are also referred to as “pillars,” “shapers,” “molders,” and “spheres.” Those who follow the seven mountain mandate speak of “occupying” the mountains, “invading” the culture, and “transforming” society.

The seven mountain mandate has its roots in dominion theology, which started in the early 1970s with a goal of “taking dominion” of the earth, twisting Genesis 1:28 to include a mandate for Christians to control civil affairs and all other aspects of society. The New Apostolic Reformation, with its self-appointed prophets and apostles, has also influenced the seven mountain movement, lending dreams and visions and other extra-biblical revelations to the mandate.

The seven mountain mandate says that it is the duty of all Christians to create a worldwide kingdom for the glory of Christ . . . . 


The NAR and proponents of the seven mountain mandate have abandoned biblical teaching on the end times, choosing to believe that Christians must set the stage for Jesus’ second coming by achieving dominion over the world’s systems. According to 7-M theology, Jesus will only return to a world that mirrors the kingdom of God. This idea parallels the New Age teaching that anticipates a cosmic spiritual shift when man becomes a co-redeemer of Planet Earth.

Christians are called to be lights in the world (Matthew 5:14). There is no biblical requirement, however, to take the helm of all the world systems in order to usher in Christ’s kingdom. The Bible says that the world will grow worse, not better, in the last days (2 Timothy 3:1, 13; 2 Peter 3:3).

The theology associated with the seven mountain mandate is dangerous, and it sheds a terribly negative light on Christians everywhere. The 7-M teaching puts a tremendous burden on believers to perform, make progress in their relative spheres of influence, and set the stage for Jesus’ return to earth—all without a definite end point. Little emphasis is placed on the gospel message of salvation by grace through faith in Jesus Christ; the movement is more about staking claims and taking control. The seven mountain mandate is a movement led by false prophets, and it should be avoided and exposed whenever Bible-believing Christians encounter it.
I of course have no interest in detailed debates over over-enthusiastic dominion theology vs last days fatalism (having already struck a balance above), and will only note that there are several eschatological schools of thought -- none of which is wholly satisfactory. Adapting Wayne Grudem to illustrate main schools:


Obviously, the critique targets amillennialist or post-millenialist schools of thought that may indeed be prominent in circles that promote seven mountains thinking. In so doing, it unfortunately fails to reckon with challenges facing premillennial eschatologies and seems to directly fall into last days fatalism: "The Bible says that the world will grow worse, not better, in the last days."

Frankly, I suspect that such last days fatalism joined to a lack of deep understanding of the discipling mandate, multiplied by failure to build up capacity to properly ground disciples, equip them for and through small/cell group service teams and onward for strategic, prophetic intellectual and cultural leadership has a lot to do with the problem. That is a context for proposals I have put on the table regarding a cyber based regional college with as flagship programme, an Associate in Arts with a concentration in Caribbean Christian Service:



Such could be delivered based on micro-campus centres featuring multimedia learning resource centres that can readily be hosted by many church facilities across our region:



And to provide intellectual muscle, we need a good M.Ed programme also:





In short, we have a way to build required capacity.

Beyond, a more balanced view than last days fatalism would reckon with the themes of Spirit given revival AND demonically motivated riot that not only run through the Acts but can be seen in the wider pattern of teaching on the church's mandate. 

As I noted above already:
Given the parable of sower, seed and soils, we can readily see how some repent deeply and utterly transformationally, some are temporarily moved, some are in a strange half-way house where the fruitfulness of the gospel is choked by the deceitfulness of riches and the cares of this life. Given power systems, agendas, ideologies and centres/pillars/ mountains of influence in the community, there is an overall impact which may change over time. The Acts shows how revival and riot often run in a race in a given community, sometimes leading to grave miscarriages of justice as opponents of the gospel (often for religious or business reasons) carry out vigilantism, mob action or outright lawfare that targets the witness of the gospel.

So, we most likely see at first a counter-culture strategy emerging, as a truly godly remnant under pressure or outright persecution models gospel transformation in a suspicious or outright hostile community. Over decades to generations, there may well be a rising tide as waves of renewal and revival surge into the community. That tide may reach a peak [= reformation] where the community begins to identify itself as Christian, joining Christendom. But of course that brings to bear the complex -- and too often poorly understood -- challenge of the compromises, sins, and blessings of Christendom. Where, too, we face what the letters to the seven churches in The Revelation and the centuries of history in the OT highlight: the repeated rise of heresies, misleaders and of apostasy leading to cycles of judgement and renewed repentance.
In short, there will be growing, global struggle, leading to rising waves of both Spirit-led revival and devilish riot. And that means in turn that those who labour in strategic apologetics, in broader prophetic intellectual and cultural leadership, in governance and government, as well as in strategic change towards truly sustainable development must be properly educated, equipped, commissioned and sent, understood, appreciated, supported and sustained in the work of a modern-day Daniel or Nehemiah.

The attack against such coming from the criticisms just cited as "typical" cannot be right. 

Not all are called to such leadership, but those who are should not be smeared through guilt by association with new ageism, or undermined through unjustified accusations of false teaching and/or being or following false prophets.

It is time for us to do better, a lot better. If not now, then when? If not here, then where? If not us, then who?

DV, more to follow. END

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

Post-Helsinki, is Cold War 2 off the table?

Now that the flurry of over-wrought media coverage has subsided, maybe we need to attend to geostrategic issues that surfaced through the recent Helsinki Summit.

In opening remarks for the press conference at the recent Helsinki summit, Russian President, Mr Vladimir Putin observed:
Distinguished Mr. President, ladies and gentlemen, negotiations with the President of the United States, Donald Trump, took place in a frank and business-like atmosphere. I think we can call it a success and a very fruitful round of negotiations . . . . It’s quite clear to everyone that the bilateral relationship are going through a complicated stage. Yet those impediments, the current tension, the tense atmosphere essentially have no solid reason behind it. The Cold War is a thing of past. The era of acute ideological confrontation of the two countries is a thing of the remote past — it’s a vestige of the past. The situation of the world changed dramatically.
So, we see tensions acknowledged (and tell-tale diplomatic language for a bit of a verbal dust-up: "frank . . .") even as it was correctly said that THE Cold War is a thing of the Past -- the USSR and Warsaw Pact have been dead for nearly thirty years. To some extent, that simply means that regimes come and go but facts of geostrategy ever shall remain. So long as the Russian and American states are respectively the major Eurasian continental power and the major maritime power,

[BREAK IN TRANSMISSION: What, you think you can realistically ignore, shun, shame or subvert the state with the No. 2 biggest, working "big red" -- nuke -- "button" in the world? (BTW, that's the Kim Jong Un standard.) Wake up and smell some pretty strong coffee. While I am at it, here is a telling tweet:]


[context:]



. . .  there will be divergent and often conflicting interests. Where also, Mr Putin would be well advised to consider the implications of his adventurism in the Ukraine and elsewhere as triggers for global tensions.

On Mr Trump's part, he clearly needed to be better briefed and while perhaps some "frankness" with Germany and the UK was needed, given the tendency to free-ride on the American coat-tails, his own recent language was likely over the top.

Going on, Mr Putin also observed:
Today both Russia and the United States face a whole new set of challenges. Those include a dangerous maladjustment of mechanisms for maintaining international security and stability, regional crises, the creeping threat of terrorism and transnational crime. It’s the snowballing problems in the economy, environmental risks and other sets of challenges. We can only cope with these challenges if we join the ranks and work together. Hopefully, we will reach this understanding with our American partners . . . . As major nuclear powers, we bear special responsibility for maintaining international security . . . . We favor the continued cooperation in counterterrorism and maintaining cybersecurity. I’d like to point out specifically that our special services are cooperating quite successfully together. The most recent example is their operational cooperation within the recently concluded World football Cup . . . . 

As far as Syria is concerned, the task of establishing peace and reconciliation in this country could be the first showcase example of the successful joint work. Russia and the United States apparently can proactively take leadership on this issue and organize the interaction to overcome humanitarian crisis and help Syrian refugees go back to their homes . . . The south of Syria should be brought to the full compliance with the treaty of 1974 about the separation of forces, about separation of forces of Israel and Syria. This will bring peace to Golan Heights. And bring more peaceful relationship between Syria and Israel and also to provide security of the state of Israel. Mr. President paid special attention to the issue during today’s negotiations. I would like to confirm that Russia is interested in this development and this will act accordingly . . . .  

We’re glad that the Korean peninsula issue is starting to resolve. To a great extent, it was possible thanks to the personal engagement of President Trump who opted for dialogue instead of confrontation. 
 How should we take this and other topics?

First, Russia is not the USSR, it is far weaker and is much less of a military power. It is still one of the two leading nuclear powers, but the global threat of Communist subjugation is over. So, Putin can be taken for a sometimes aggressive Russian nationalist with a hunger for economic power (and likely, personal wealth). He is obviously autocratic and is likely bloody-handed. But in the end he recognises limits and that on the whole global and Middle Eastern stability are better than chaos sliding into war.

Caroline Glick of the Jerusalem Post, adds:


Two critical issues, Iran’s presence in Syria and North Korea’s nuclear arsenal, were the subject of a significant amount of attention from Trump and Putin during the press conference. Their remarks on both subjects made clear just how critical the meeting was for U.S. national security interests and for global stability in the short and long-term.

Before they met in Helsinki, the prospect of war between Israel and Iran/Hezbollah in Syria was all but certain. On Monday, Syrian regime forces — which are dominated by Iran through its Revolutionary Guard Corps officers, Hezbollah units, and Iranian-controlled Shiite militia forces — began their press to seize control over the Quneitra region on the Syrian side of the border with Israel.
If Iran is able to entrench its own forces, or Hezbollah forces, in Syria generally, and along the border with Israel specifically, Israel will have to go to war to eject Iran by force. Israel simply cannot accept a strategic environment that involves a permanent Iranian presence in Syria, particularly given that Iran controls Lebanon through Hezbollah.

In their remarks, both Putin and Trump said that they are committed to Israel’s security. Putin said that he accepts Israel’s position that the 1974 disengagement of forces agreement between Israel and Syria must be implemented. The agreement bars Syrian military forces from deploying to the border with Israel and limits their deployment in the area adjacent to it. Trump stated outright that the U.S. supports Israel’s efforts to prevent Iran from entrenching its forces in Syria.
Glick draws a major (and likely true) inference:
Trump’s statement that,“the United States will not allow Iran to benefit from our successful campaign against ISIS” dovetailed a statement by National Security Advisor John Bolton ahead of the summit. Speaking Sunday with ABC News, Bolton said, “I think the president has made it clear that we are there [in Syria] until the ISIS territorial caliphate is removed and as long as the Iranian menace continues throughout the Middle East.”

 Iran will understand the remarks of both men to mean that the U.S. will fight with Israel in any war with Iranian-controlled forces in Syria to ensure their withdrawal, just as they fought with their allies in Syria to defeat ISIS.Then there is Putin. Putin’s statement of support for Israel’s security and peaceful relations between Syria and Israel also sent a signal to Iran. Whereas Putin has worked with Iran to enable Assad to survive and restore his control over territory previously controlled by rebel forces, Putin will not cooperate with Iran if it chooses to remain in Syria and face Israeli and perhaps U.S. forces in battle.
In short, containment of the re-emerging Persian Empire in its reach across Iraq and Syria to its de facto province in southern Lebanon. Multiply this by the US pullout on the deeply flawed nuke deal, and the message to the Mullahs is plain: back off.

If that were not plain enough, we see a more- than- merely- "frank" July 22 tweet by Mr Trump:
Jul 22

To Iranian President Rouhani: NEVER, EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN OR YOU WILL SUFFER CONSEQUENCES THE LIKES OF WHICH FEW THROUGHOUT HISTORY HAVE EVER SUFFERED BEFORE. WE ARE NO LONGER A COUNTRY THAT WILL STAND FOR YOUR DEMENTED WORDS OF VIOLENCE & DEATH. BE CAUTIOUS!
We may sum up: Russia acknowledges its limits and is seeking to support general stability, Korea seems to be simmering down, Iran is on notice -- perhaps leading up to talks similar to those with Korea. 

Where, of course, Middle East stability is vital to keeping oil prices within reason and thus to global economic prosperity. In turn, this feeds the Caribbean's Tourism-dominated, fossil fuel-dependent economies.

And, though Mr Trump's style is more that of a New York building contractor (I have never forgotten his distasteful "grab 'em" remarks) than a smooth, well-polished diplomat, that may be about as good a deal as we could hope for towards global stability. END

Thursday, July 19, 2018

Oil -- keep your eye on Texas

According to a recent CNN Money article, Texas is due to surpass Iraq and Iran as oil producers next year. This is because of large shale oil fields which reportedly can be "profitable below $40 a barrel."

So, as oil price and availability are key global economy drivers, we would be well advised to take note.

Clipping:

Plunging drilling costs have sparked an explosion of production out of the Permian Basin of West Texas. In fact, Texas is pumping so much oil that it will surpass OPEC members Iran and Iraq next year, HSBC predicted in a recent report . . . . The hyper growth out of Texas is needed because oil prices have risen sharply and major players like Saudi Arabia are quickly maxing out their production . . . . Rapid technological advances have dramatically brought down the cost of pumping oil everywhere, especially out of the Permian. Wells there can be profitable below $40 a barrel. 

"The industry cracked the code on fracking," said [Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy Group, a consulting firm and a former White House Official]. 

The rise of Texas, which is also home to the Eagle Ford oilfield in the state's south, shows how the shale oil revolution has reshaped the global energy landscape. The United States is pumping more oil than ever before, making it less reliant on the turbulent Middle East for imports . . . . 

The combined output of the Permian and Eagle Ford is expected to rise from just 2.5 million barrels per day in 2014 to 5.6 million barrels per day in 2019, according to HSBC. That means Texas will account for more than half of America's total oil production. 

By comparison, Iraq's daily production is seen at about 4.8 million barrels, while Iran is projected to pump 3 million. Oil supplies from Iran are likely to plunge due to tough sanctions from the United States. 
 It has been suggested that the US would overtake Russia and Saudi Arabia, becoming number one. 

Brent is currently at the US $72/bbl level, with West Texas Intermediate about $4 lower. Saudi Arabia recently added 4- 500,000 bbl/day, in an attempt to tame a price rise trend. 

All of this will bear further watching. END

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Matt 24 watch, 309: A police whistleblower on the UK grooming and child rape scandal (some vid clips)

The UK child rape and grooming scandal is not only a matter of a widespread, long-running pattern of crime and abuse, but of official failures. Accordingly, for reference, some video clips.

Clip 1, John Wedger, a police whistleblower speaks:



Clip 2, a UK media story:



Clip 3: some victims speak:



These are sobering, and we need to ponder what more is going on, not just in the UK but elsewhere. END

Wednesday, June 06, 2018

74th anniversary of June 6, 1944 D-Day invasion, Normandy, France

A video on the invasion beaches:



The creation of a main "second front" in Europe was militarily decisive in the Second World War, and set up a base for restoration of freedom in mainland Europe. END

Monday, June 04, 2018

Matt 24 watch, 308: Melanie Phillips, British Journalist (formerly of UK Guardian) on how the media manipulate truth in a po-mo world

Melanie Phillips is a prominent British journalist and writer who worked with the well-known Guardian for many years. In the video below, she exposes a dangerous pattern of distorting actual facts in service to a wider ideologically loaded "truth" that she first noticed in the mid '80's:



(She also speaks to many particular points, including during the Q&A, that are well worth pondering.) 

In short, the "fake news" issue has a longer record than is commonly imagined and there are several sides to the story. Fair comment: we live in a region where dominant ideologies and agendas routinely manipulate what we perceive as credible, true, news, education, insightful commentary, community consensus and more.

This in turn leads me to highlight my news, views and spin grid as a means to de-spin and straighten out our crooked thinking:




and also the significance of the seven mountains picture:




We have to be very judicious in our consumption of news, views, education and entertainment. END

Friday, June 01, 2018

Which Computer Programming language[s] should we focus on for education/ capacity-building?

For several years now, I have advocated for using Java as a first programming language for computer science education (with side orders of HTML, linked Cascading Style Sheets stuff and some Python). My reason for that is, it is a widely used, freely available general language that stresses Object Oriented Programming and is C-family. 

My underlying concern, of course, is that our region -- the Caribbean -- has to make a transition to becoming far more productive with digital technology, which requires making the step change to being able to program computers in a modern language. 

I am convinced that a suitably designed three credit, semester-length course can do the job. (See my long-term work in progress here. Observe Units B and F. I also recently ran across a good source for constructing my intended key case study and DV will be moving ahead. I am still looking for techies.)

 Now, recently, I have been wondering if that approach is still "about right" and went looking at some info on most popular or top computer languages.

Let me pause and note on how infrequently I have been posting recently:
Pardon that lack of regularity, I have been busy on multiple fronts, especially after the passing of my Father. I hope to be more frequent, especially as I rebalance to address prophetic intellectual and cultural, transformational leadership in the region and the need for the churches to get serious about being embassies of the Kingdom of God. That will take a little while.
Back to the post that is already in progress (and for which a cluster of tabs has been open in my main browser for several weeks) . . .


Of course, different ratings give fairly different answers but a major popular rating is TIOBE, and it puts out a graph (HT, Wikipedia):



Obviously Java has been dominating the number one slot for the past 15 years, with C and C++ being below. C# I gather was quite close to Java but has moved away in recent years.

Given the web presence of JavaScript, that language, too, seems to be important.

So, it looks like going Java as main introductory language with Python and JavaScript as immediate onward languages seems to be a viable approach going forward -- that sounds like a course sequence emerging. Where of course, HTML basics, some CSS and odds and ends will be helpful. I also think plug-in packages ("libraries") for math, statistics and science will be important. However, there are specialised languages out there such as R for statistics, Math CAD, Mathematica etc. 

The issue is to open a door, not to pretend that there are no valid alternatives or powerful specialised things out there. But if we are to open a door, let it be a/the main door. END