Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Capacity Focus, 52b: The ARM-based MikroElektronika EasyMX PRO v7, the Rigol DS1052E and the DP Scope SE -- some development kit (beyond Raspberry Pi) for multimedia and controller projects

MikroElektronika EasyMX PRO v 7
It is worth noting for reference, some of the stuff that is out there for development at the level beyond what a Raspberry Pi would do.

For instance, from Serbia -- yes, Serbia, we have the US$ 169 MikroElektronika EasyMX PRO v 7, and this would go well with say the Rigol DS 1052E US$ 330 - 400 or so digital storage oscilloscope with spectrum analyser features. The EMP comes with an on-board programmer-debugger, an LCD screen -- that's a cheetah being shown -- and it takes a family of processor cards. There is a buzzer, temperature sensor, a USB bus interface as well as Ethernet,  and it also interfaces with the automotive industry standard CAN bus.

The ARM of course, thanks to low power consumption, is used in a high proportion of cell phones and the like, so it is the most common processor family at this level. 

And if you need a lighter duty, light on the wallet USB resident oscilloscope, it may be useful to look at something like the DPScope SE.

In short, you don't have to break the bank to do fairly serious development work. END

Matt 24 watch, 159c: John Bolton, former US ambassador to the UN, on the persistent failure of negotiations with Iran, and the gathering war-clouds

Following up from Iran supreme leader Khamenei's war-warning, it is helpful to note John Bolton's remarks in a bit more detail, from his The Weekly Standard article, The Negotiation Delusion:
The ongoing failure of talks concerning Iran’s nuclear weapons program, most recently in Istanbul on July 3, is no surprise. This latest negotiation charade between Iran and the Security Council’s five permanent members plus Germany (P5+1) is the culmination of 10 years of innumerable diplomatic endeavors. These efforts rested on the erroneous premise that Iran could be talked out of its decades-long effort to build deliverable nuclear weapons . . . . 

We are well past the point where sanctions against Iran’s nuclear program achieve more than making their proponents feel good about “doing something.” They neither restrain Iran’s nuclear program nor effectively advance the goal of replacing the mullahs with a regime that would truly forswear nuclear weapons. Combined with material assistance to Iran’s extensive opposition, sanctions could help destabilize Tehran, but unfortunately both the Obama and Bush administrations have failed on that score . . . . 

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on June 30, for example, that “the pressure track is our primary focus now, and we believe that the economic sanctions are bringing Iran to the table.” That is a far cry from actually terminating the weapons program. Moreover, what would a negotiated deal look like? Our goal is to deny Iran nuclear weapons; Tehran manifestly wants the opposite. What is the compromise? Iran gets to keep a small nuclear weapons program? Not even the most effervescent Obama supporters (publicly) endorse such a result. The fundamental problem today is that there simply is no effective, enforceable sanctions regime that will compel Iran to abandon its nuclear aspirations . . . .

If commentators and the press had longer attention spans, they would recall the history of nearly 10 years of sanctions imposed on Iran, unilaterally by America, Japan, and others, more broadly by the European Union, and even more broadly by the Security Council. The net effect is that Iran continues to plow ahead. As Obama’s director of national intelligence, Lt. General James Clapper, testified in January, “the sanctions as imposed so far have not caused [the Iranians] to change their behavior or their policy.”
In short, we here have a totalitarian state in the grips of an apocalyptic ideology that since the 1980's has been bent on building nuclear weapons, on the explicit understanding that a nuclear war is the expected outcome, costing the world four billion lives or more, but ending up with the predicted/ expected Mahdi dominating the surviving world. The patent implication is that in the minds of the Mullahs "infidel" lives count for nothing, and those Muslims who will inevitably die will die as martyrs in jihad and are guaranteed of paradise.


Sad, and sickening.

A more sober-minded assessment would be that  if Iran is responsible for a direct or indirect nuke attack on any significant target anywhere in the world, it will be vapourised within the hour and left a smoking, radioactive ruin. 

Regardless of consequences to the rest of the world. 

Which will begin with a huge spike in oil prices and economic hardships, leading to famine in vulnerable regions of the world. And, should this trigger an Islamist uprising on any large scale, the suppression will be brutal and direct. 

Radicalised Islamic enclaves in the West will be lucky if they are merely interned or put under curfew for the duration, and there will be a hard to resist demand to expel such dangerous and proved treasonous subcultures.

That is obvious.

But, it was also obvious that long-term, the Fascist regimes of the 1930's could not defeat the wider world in a drawn out war. But, that is exactly what they thought they had the strategies and tactics to avert. It did not turn out as they planned, but vast regions were devastated and something like 60 millions died needlessly, triggering a ruinously expensive, decades long Cold War as a direct consequence.

 So, why don't the Mullahs and other leaders of Iran wake up and smell the coffee?

 They probably think they have a counterbalance, probably their alliance with Russia. 

That is -- and let us not forget the Shia imperative to dissimulate on matters strategic -- they are probably thinking that a nuke strike on Iran can be taken off the table by the implicit threat of a nuke retaliation from Russia. They also probably think that this can buy them time to create a de facto counterbalance to the Israeli nuke arsenal, then use intimidation and nuke threat backed terrorism to get what they want across the Middle East and beyond. 

Certainly, one can argue that the Russian attack on Israeli ally Georgia in 2008, took off the table an Israeli back-door air strike on Iran across the Caspian Sea, similar to the Entebbe raid of 1976; which rescued passengers on a hijacked airliner in Uganda with the co-operation of Kenya.

Bolton is chilling in his conclusion:
Russia and China have a strategic national interest in preventing us from succeeding. Even if Moscow and Beijing truly oppose a nuclear Iran, they will not, for their own broader reasons, let the West bend Tehran to its will. Just as they continue to protect Syria’s Assad regime, an Iranian satellite which has neither substantial oil nor its own nuclear weapons program, Russia and China see Iran as a test case in limiting American power. And they are succeeding . . . . In the race between the West’s sanctions/negotiations track and Tehran’s nuclear weapons track, the nuclear effort is much closer to the finish line. Since all other options have failed repeatedly, we must at some very near point face a basic question: Are we prepared to use force at a time of our choosing and through means optimal for us rather than for Iran’s air defenses, or will we simply allow Iran to have nuclear weapons under the delusion it can be contained and deterred? The clock is ticking, and the centrifuges are spinning. 
Is that where it ends?

No.

We have to face the 1967 factor. 

After drumbeat calls for Israel's destruction and a mounting series of clashes, Nasser requested the UN peacekeepers to withdraw from Sinai and then closed the straights of Tiran, cutting Israel's oil pipeline. Armoured forces and aircraft were moved to the Sinai, threatening to cut Israel in two or three parts, even while it was in the grip of oil strangulation and the draining effects of stopping its economy to mobilise for defence. Time was on the Arab side, and the West, as usual, could not be counted on to back up its promises. Israel, heavily outnumbered, out-gunned and with the clock ticking, looked doomed.

Then, one morning in June, they launched every stick that could fly, and sent them low over the Mediterranean, hitting Egyptian air bases and knocking out the Egyptian air force then the Syrian one. Reworked Sherman tanks from the 1940's (in many cases bought, literally, from the world's junkyards), with cut-down 105 mm guns that could barely squeeze into the reworked turrets were sent into the Sinai against the much improved descendants of the Russian tanks that ate up the German tanks that dominated the Sherman in Northern France in 1944.

Against all odds, they won, won decisively.

That is what we remember as the Six Day War.

And, that is why my bet today is that the Mullahs are wrong and that their cynical exploitation of the religious sentiments of their people is suicidal. 

Israel -- in the face of an obvious existential crisis -- will do what it takes to take out the Iranian nuke threat before it passes the point of no return, and they will do so regardless of expected backlash from world opinion. Opinions shaped by the same leaders who failed to act over the past decade, when it could have been done at much lower cost in lives and chaos. Similar to what was done to Czechoslovakia in 1938.

Indeed, Israeli Prime Minister, Netanyahu has more or less said as much before the UN last year:
 “Thousand of missiles have already rained down on our cities. So you might understand why Israelis rightfully ask what’s preventing it from happening again.”

“Would any of you bring danger so close to your cities, to your families? Would you act so recklessly with the life of your families?” he said.

“Since 9/11, militant Islam has slaughtered countless innocents. The most dangerous threat is that these fanatics arm themselves with nuclear weapons and this is precisely what Iran is trying to do. Can you imagine that man armed with nuclear weapons?” Netanyahu added, referring to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad . . .
So, we face grim days, and it is now odds on that we will see war to prevent Iran from crossing the Nuke threshold definitively. For, half-hearted diplomacy not backed up by credible force, in the face of determined dictators, has again (predictably) failed. END

Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Matt 24 watch, 159b: Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, gives an end of days war warning (as in: what we don't know about, because it is not politically correct, can hurt us, badly . . . )

The pseudonymous, former Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Reza Kahlili, has warned in a July 9, 2012 WND article, just yesterday, of how: 
[Iranian] State-owned media outlets, in a coordinated effort, all ran a similar story Friday highlighting Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s message on the coming of the last Islamic messiah.
Until now, the Iranian media would mostly quote clerics from seminaries on the issue of the last Islamic messiah to avoid the regime being labeled messianic. However, the wide publication of Khamenei’s statements on a need to prepare for the end of times as it confronts the West over its illicit nuclear program is alarming to Western leaders.

“The issue of Imam Mahdi is of utmost importance, and his reappearance has been clearly stated in our holy religion of Islam,” Khamenei said. We must study and remind ourselves of the end of times and Imam Mahdi’s era. … We must prepare the environment for the coming so that the great leader will come.” . . . . 
“Today we have a duty to prepare for the coming. … If we are the soldiers of the 12th imam, then we must be ready to fight,” Khamenei said.

“With the guidance of Allah and His invisible help, we shall make the Islamic civilization proud on the world stage. … This is our destiny. … The youth, the faithful must prepare themselves for this great move.”
Giving background, Kahlili notes how: 
Shiite theology holds that great wars must engulf the Earth, during which one-third of the world’s population will die in the fighting and another third from hunger, lawlessness and havoc. [--> That's 4 - 5 BILLIONS dead, folks . . . ] Israel is to be destroyed, and only then will the 12th imam, Mahdi, reappear and kill all the infidels, raising the flag of Islam in all corners of the world . . . 
As further backdrop, we must understand that, as long as nine years ago, the Iranian authorities have circulated to army bases, to the Basij ideological militia and the Revolutionary Guards, a key booklet, The last Six Months. According to Kahlili, this booklet, "describes the conditions needed in the last six months prior to the reappearance of the last Islamic messiah." Which, of course, are just as described.

The just linked April 24, 2012 article comments:
Mahdi will only reappear, Shiites believe, when Israel is destroyed and the U.S. is brought to its knees; two-thirds of the world’s population will die in a nuclear exchange, and with this chaos and havoc engulfing the earth, the “coming” will unfold.

As revealed in the Iranian secret documentary “The Coming Is Upon Us,” it is believed within the Islamic regime that the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is the historical figure as claimed in a hadith who will rise up against the infidels and pass the flag of Islam to Imam Mahdi, the last Islamic messiah.
It is worth again pausing to watch the video (which has been previously featured at KF):


We should also recognise that Khamenei is on record, as long ago as 1984 (when he was President of Iran), per an excerpt from a IAEA document, is on record:
“. . .  in April 1984 the then President of Iran, H.E. Ayatollah Khamenei declared, during a meeting of top-echelon political and security officials at the Presidential Palace in Tehran, that the spiritual leader Imam Khomeini had decided to reactivate the nuclear programme. [--> NB: at the turn of the 1980's, I was taught Physics by one of the men who ran Iran's nuclear physics research reactor and programme under the Shah in the 1970's] According to Ayatollah Khamenei this was the only way to secure the very essence of the Islamic Revolution from the schemes of its enemies, especially the United States and Israel, and to prepare it for the emergence of Imam Mehdi. Ayatollah Khamenei further declared during the meeting, that a nuclear arsenal would serve Iran as a deterrent in the hands of God’s soldiers.”
In short, the diplomatic dance and hesitations over the past decade have simply secured the time Iran needed to be in the position where it seems that within one to two months it could credibly sprint into nuclear power status. Where, the leadership are in the grips of an ideology that EXPECTS nuclear war costing the world 2/3 of its population as a feature of an eschatological scenario that brings Iran to centre stage as the vanguard of the Mahdi/re-emerged 12th Imam of Shia Islam, as leader of a global, final revolution.

No wonder, former US UN Ambassador John Bolton has summed up:
The ongoing failure of talks concerning Iran’s nuclear weapons program, most recently in Istanbul on July 3, is no surprise. This latest negotiation charade between Iran and the Security Council’s five permanent members plus Germany (P5+1) is the culmination of 10 years of innumerable diplomatic endeavors. These efforts rested on the erroneous premise that Iran could be talked out of its decades-long effort to build deliverable nuclear weapons.

Now, almost no one argues there is light at the end of the negotiation tunnel . . . . Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on June 30, for example, that “the pressure track is our primary focus now, and we believe that the economic sanctions are bringing Iran to the table.” That is a far cry from actually terminating the weapons program. Moreover, what would a negotiated deal look like? Our goal is to deny Iran nuclear weapons; Tehran manifestly wants the opposite. What is the compromise? Iran gets to keep a small nuclear weapons program? . . . . 

 The fundamental problem today is that there simply is no effective, enforceable sanctions regime that will compel Iran to abandon its nuclear aspirations. It may once have been possible, a decade ago or more, but even then would have required full, active cooperation from Russia, China, and others; comprehensive sanctions, not the ad hoc structure actually created; armed enforcement; and checkmating Iran’s highly successful cheating and evasion efforts. That theoretical chance has long since disappeared.
Since none of this is really new, apart from last Friday's statement by Khamenei, we need to pointedly ask: why is this something that has not been properly and repeatedly headlined as one of the most important trends to understand events in the Middle East and implications for the world?

Such is obviously highly newsworthy, but has been met with a studied silence or -- almost worse -- a studied burial in the back pages or odd corners and hours of the global 24/7 news cycle. Frankly, this suggests that our perceptions and views are being willfully manipulated by those who deem themselves our betters, to make sure we toe the required politically correct lines. For shame!

If there ever was a need for Samizdat, this is a case in point!

But also the bottomline our betters plainly don't want us to think too deeply about is clear: we are now at the brink of nuclear threshold war in the Middle East, in a situation that is likely indeed to so disrupt the world's oil supplies, that  chaos lies ahead, absent a miracle of Divine mercy.

Further to all of this, the well informed, pseudonymous [--> he has had his life threatened] commenter Joel Richardson warned in a September 6, 2006 open letter to Mr Ahmadinejad, then recently chosen -- he can hardly be said to have been legitimately elected, given the censorship of candidates by the Guardian Council -- as Iranian President:
Mr. President, in your letter to President Bush, you said this:
"I have no doubt that telling lies is reprehensible in any culture, and you do not like to be lied to."
Of course, while much of the world has never heard of the doctrines of Kithman or al-Taqiyya, as a Shi’a Muslim, you are most certainly aware of these terms, are you not? Certainly you are aware of the words of Imam Jafar Sadiq, the sixth Imam of Shi’a Islam who clearly disagrees with you about the reprehensibility of lying. In fact, he even states that Allah will dishonor anyone who tells the truth about certain elements of Islam:
"One who exposes something from our religion is like one who intentionally kills us."
"You belong to a religion that whosoever conceals it, Allah will honor him and whosoever reveals it, Allah will disgrace him."
I have also read from A Shi’a Enclopedia a specific definition of al-Taqiyya:
"The word ‘al-Taqiyya’ literally means: ‘Concealing or disguising one's beliefs, convictions, ideas, feelings, opinions, and/or strategies at a time of imminent danger, whether now or later in time, to save oneself from physical and/or mental injury.’  A one-word translation would be ‘Dissimulation’".
So Mr. President, my first question to you would be the following: Would I be wrong to believe the words of your Imam and the words of your scholars by understanding that Shi’a Muslims are commanded to purposefully hide what they truly believe in order to mislead others as to the true nature of their religion, their "beliefs, convictions, ideas, feelings, opinions, and/or strategies"?
In short, the same religiously motivated ideological system outright commands calculated deceit in a strategic situation. That is a serious warning indeed, and it therefore means that we should attend more to internal words and deeds that reveal ideology and intent to those they lead or plan together with, than to potentially deliberately misleading statements meant for consumption by outsiders. 

Obviously, that is what Reza Kahlili and Joel Richardson have given us a window on.

Richardson continues:
Mr. President, despite the fact that your nation essentially sits atop an endless supply of oil, how is it that you expect intelligent people to believe you when you claim that your only motivation to achieve nuclear capabilities is for energy? In light of the millions of lives that may potentially be at risk due to a potential nuclear exchange, wouldn’t the leaders of the world be utterly foolish to accept anything you say regarding your nuclear program? And wouldn’t their foolishness be multiplied by the fact that you regularly seem to make outlandish comments such as your recent statement at the "World without Zionism Conference":
"They say, ‘how could we have a world without America and Zionism?’ But you know well that this slogan and goal can be achieved and can definitely be realized."
Mr. President, certainly you must realize how such comments will be viewed by the rest of the world.
Richardson goes on, even more pointedly:
 In Ayatollah Ibrahim Amini’s work on the subject of Mahdism for instance: Al-Imam Al-Mahdi: The Just Leader of Humanity, we read of those who refuse to convert to Islam and submit to the Mahdi’s leadership over the earth:
This group will indisputably be opposed to justice and will never give up their stubborn antagonism against any power.  Such people will do anything against the promised Mahdi to protect their vested interests.  Moreover, they will do anything within their power to demoralize and combat those who support the Imam (Mahdi).  To crush the negative influence of this group there is no other solution except warfare and bloodshed.
And again, we read that:
The Mahdi will offer the religion of Islam to the Jews and Christians; if they accept it they will be spared, otherwise they will be killed.
Mr. President, thinking people around the world will certainly ask; if Islam is such a true and wonderful religion, why then is it necessary to resort to jihad, force and bloodshed to spread among mankind? If God truly wanted Islam to spread, would he not simply cause it to do so through peaceful means? Or is he unable to do so Himself? In this, do we not see the difference between God and Satan. Does God not offer His truth to mankind according to their own choice and free will? Does not God’s ultimate judgment of each person hinge on their own response to His invitation? But historically it is always oppressive and tyrannical regimes that enforce their ideologies onto the people. Can you see how your religious worldview regarding the eventual triumph of Islam does not reflect the manner in which God offers His mercy to mankind? Can you see how your worldview and expectations of the coming new world under al-Mahdi instead reflect the pattern of other various failed regimes of the past, having been exposed by the very people that they once controlled as being destructive and oppressive to the human spirit?
Sobering, and utterly consistent with the similar teachings of the other main branch of Islam on what the Mahdi will do. For instance, Richardson cites " Egyptian authors, Muhammad ibn Izzat and Muhammd ‘Arif " commenting on an Islamic tradition that "Rasulullah [Muhammad] said: "Armies carrying black flags will come from Khurasan. No power will be able to stop them and they will finally reach Eela (Baitul Maqdas in Jerusalem) where they will erect their flags"21:
The Mahdi will be victorious and eradicate those pigs and dogs and the idols of this time so that there will once more be a caliphate based on prophethood as the hadith states… Jerusalem will be the location of the rightly guided caliphate and the center of Islamic rule, which will be headed by Imam al-Mahdi… That will abolish the leadership of the Jews… and put an end to the domination of the Satans who spit evil into people and cause corruption in the earth, making them slaves of false idols and ruling the world by laws other than the Shari’a [Islamic Law] of the Lord of the worlds. (Emphasis mine) 22
----------
  1. Tirmidhi as quoted by Mohammed Ali Ibn Zubair Ali, Signs of Qiyamah  (Islamic Book Service, New Delhi, 2004), p. 42  and Prof. M. Abdullah, Islam, Jesus, Mehdi, Qadiyanis and Doomsday, (Adam, New Delhi, 2004), p. 54
  1. Izzat and Arif, Al Mahdi and the End of Time (London,Dar Al-Taqwa, 1997), p.40
Sobering.

Now, across the road from me, a neighbour occasionally pens sheep in a field with Guinea Grass. And, as I regularly passed by, I could not but notice how intently the sheep are focussed on the matter of eating the grass, sometimes to the exclusion of all else. 

So, too, one of the images that has been coming to mind recently is a sheep in a field, in a dry time. That sheep is concerned about the next clump of grass, to make sure it fills its burning hunger. But, somehow, it is not pausing sufficiently often to look around to see who might be sneaking up on it to turn it into a meal of Goat Water (the local national dish, which is often made with sheep rather than goat).

But, by contrast, the guava trees in the backyard are often visited by wild Agouti, which we love to watch; they can be quite entertaining. But one thing we notice, is that every few seconds, these animals lift their heads, scan all around and cock their ears to listen. 

They are always on the alert, and at the slightest sign of danger, away they go, heading for safety.

I think the time has more than come, for us to learn from the sheep and the agouti, especially in such a hard, deceitful and dangerous time. But also, a time in which we are called:
 2 Cor4:1 . . . since through God’s mercy we have this ministry, we do not lose heart. Rather, we have renounced secret and shameful ways; we do not use deception, nor do we distort the word of God. On the contrary, by setting forth the truth plainly we commend ourselves to every man’s conscience in the sight of God. [NIV, '84]
So, let us stand out by sharp contrast with the manipulation that so marks our time. END

Sunday, July 08, 2012

Matt 24 watch, 159: Amb Michael Oren cites Israeli PM Netanyahu on the Iranian nuke programme: "we don’t have a lot of time. It may not be days or weeks, but it’s not years . . . "

In a July 7 2012 interview with Hugh Hewitt, Israeli Ambassador to the US, historian Michael Oren speaks:
HH: How do you see, are we making any progress, the West, against Iran’s march to nuclear weapons?
[--> NB, on context: We must not forget that the Iranians take the Hadith on the end times, all-conquering Black Flag Army from the direction of Khorasan (E Iran and neighbouring areas) seriously, as well as Shiite traditions on the re-emergence of the 12th Imam as the key Islamic eschatological figure, the Mahdi. Ahmadinejad and co see Iran as the vanguard of the anticipated Islamic subjugation of the whole world under the final Caliph, the Mahdi. Joel Richardson makes a telling comparison with Biblical eschatology, here. (Observe my assessment of his overall arguments, here.) It is well worth the time to read the whole online draft of one of his books here on. Notice, the link to the Arab-Israeli conflict and the truth vs IslamIST myths about Jerusalem, here. As well, we should observe comments on Wehner's assessment of Jihadism as a global ideological and military threat, here. Cf. also earlier KF blog posts, here and here.]
MO: Well, the sanctions have proven very effective in taking a chunk out of the Iranian economy. They sent the Iranian currency into something like a freefall. So that has been effective. What we haven’t seen is a major impact on the Iranian nuclear program. And on the contrary, according to the United Nations, the Iranian nuclear program has been accelerating. And during the period of the negotiations, in particular, they keep on spinning out enriched uranium, and advancing their programs significantly. And as Prime Minister Netanyahu has said, we don’t have a lot of time. It may not be days or weeks, but it’s not years, either.
HH: When you talk about that window when they can go critical, one of the things that Dan Raviv in particular says is that many in the Israeli intelligence community are worried about a sort of sprint to nuclearlization and weaponization, that the Iranians will feel the jaws closing in on the economy, and they’ll turn everyone loose on doing this. Have you seen signs of that?
MO: No, we haven’t seen signs of an actual sprint, but they’re moving up all the pieces to a point where they’re sort of at a starter’s line, if you want to extend the metaphor. They’re moving all those pieces up to the starter’s line, so when they have the sprint, they can move this program very quickly forward. And the more time they have to move those pieces and prepare them, then the shorter the sprint will be. There’s an institute in Washington here, right from where I’m speaking, called the Bipartisan Research Institute that said about six, seven months ago, that if the Iranians decide to break out or sneak out, they can get a deliverable device, nuclear device, within 54 days. And within a year, that period will be reduced to 12 days.
HH: Wow.
MO: So that was, oh, more than half a year ago they said that, so the Iranian program today, according to that institute, would be something like 25 days. So the sprint is also getting shorter and shorter in distance . . . .
[G]iven [Israel's] capabilities, our timetable is much more limited that the United States timetable is, and it’s not determined by the American elections. It’s not determined even by the tempo of the contacts with the Iranians that have been going on in various capitols. It’s determined by the degree to which the Iranians are progressing on the nuclear program, moving parts of that program into fortified underground bunkers. And those are the clocks that we are looking at, and they will determine our actions. [More]
Clearly, never mind that it is studiously not in our headlines, the clock is ticking . . .

One more point for samizdat. END

Tuesday, July 03, 2012

1 Chron 12:32 report, 107: The KF blog list of references, links and resources -- sparkers for Samizdat

Across time, the articles at the KF Blog and associated sites have gradually become a reference base for major issues, challenges and trends. 

Having just added a new section on the porn-perversion agenda [highlighted below -- cf. video here], I think it helpful to share the list of key articles and resources in the RH column:

KF: Key Links and References


I trust that his list will help equip us, so that we will increasingly know what we should do in the face of a very challenging and indeed dangerous time. Why not, let's take these and other similar resources as a start-point for long tail, Samizdat circulation of what Big Brother does not want us to know? END

Saturday, June 30, 2012

Matt 24 watch, 158: There, we are all journalists now . . .

It seems that there has been a reaction to my highlighting the implications of Samizdat as a counter to an age of materialist spin, and to my highlighting the misbehaviour of denizens of the evolutionary materialist hate sites, as well as the following particularly outrageous piece of scripture-wrenching by American Atheists replied to here:



At notorious evo mat advocacy sites, there has been further abusive behaviour, duly enabled and tolerated -- exposing yet again the longstanding moral bankruptcy of evolutionary materialism, rooted in its utter want of a worldview foundational IS that can sustain the weight of OUGHT
(BTW: The evo mat advocates don't even seem to know enough about what was done to dissidents in the atheistical worker paradise known as the USSR to steer clear of false accusations of mental instability. As in, such now need to explain themselves about cynically falsely accusing dissidents from the party-line talking points of mental instability, locking them up and pumping them full of mind altering drugs through corruption of science, technology, institutions and professions. [cf. here and here also. Let's quote, to understand the utter viciousness of false accusations of mental instability: "The use of [mental] hospitals instead of jails prevents the victims from receiving legal aid before the courts, makes indefinite incarceration possible, discredits the individuals and their ideas . . . " In short, no need to embarrass yourself by addressing inability to answer on the merits, just play dirty tricks and if you have power to then lock people up, do so.] And, short of the full totalitarian power, the abusive evo mat advocates need to answer for their habitual resort to subtler forms of cynically dishonest abuse championed by the neo-marxist (yes, neo-marxist) Alinsky.)
If you are getting flak, you are getting close to the key targets, I suppose.

It looks like advocating a "long tail," each one tell one, samizdat strategy, is close to the target indeed. Let me summarise by key excerpt:
. . . man does not live by bread alone, and there is a hunger for the truth and for the right that in the end cannot be quenched. A hunger that points straight to our Eternal Author.

How does that work, practically speaking?

Say, I spend a month investigating something and pull together my summary report. Next month, I share  what I know with one other trusted person, and then a month later, we both share again. We are now at four who know more than Big Brother wants us to know. The next month, eight are in on the secret. After that, sixteen, thirty-two, and so forth. After thirty-three months, we are at 2^32 power, or 4, 294,967,296.

That's over four BILLION.

One more month, and we have covered the world's whole population.

The world -- in principle -- can know the truth in three years, without access to  instruments of mass manipulation, aka media and education power centres.

In short, sharing the truth a few at a time, and being motivated to pass it along repeatedly, has great power.

Potentially.

A power that is so great that the servants and dupes of deception make sure to put out their spin talking points to smear those who dare stand up, and to distort, confuse and polarise. Not to mention, to outright persecute if they think that will shut down the spread of the unwelcome truth.

Okay, one of my key points was that "Journalism is what we DO, not what we have duly anointed credentials that say we are." Let me prove it by releasing a media statement sampler. As I added to the post that has so obviously stirred evo mat ire:

I am sufficiently moved by outrageous misbehaviour to add a proof of this by sampler, for a media statement -- aim for 250 - 300 words for a release, and for 600 - 750 words for a column or radio talk. The first is about 2 minutes speaking, the second four to five. They could work as a short slot announcement in say a church service, even if the spin-doctors down by the local daily fish wrapper or radio spin zone refuse to publish:
MEDIA STATEMENT

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE/EMBARGOED UNTIL DD/MM/YYYY, TT:TT am/pm


Contact :     [name of spokesperson]
Contact Info:   [web page or blog etc]
email:    name@provider.com  (use a throw-away, there are stalkers)  
Date:        Date
Re:       [subject]

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There, we are all journalists now. END

For record: A comment on the issues raised by Dr Fuller at the ID blog Uncommon Descent (HT: Gregory and Nullasalus), and onward concerns in the wider context of debates over design theory

Since this blog is subject to hostile scrutiny, I think it useful to mirror a UD post here as well.

Let me highlight, by clipping from the below:
There has been a miasma of scientism underwritten by implicit or explicit materialism and a grossly extrapolated and exaggerated view of the capacity of mechanisms of chance variation and differential reproductive success to innovate body plan level structures that has clouded clarity of thought and that has also created a highly polarised, ideology-driven atmosphere on scientific reconstruction of origins.

That is the sort of reason why some resort to hate sites, personal attacks, smears, outright slander and libel etc. Not to mention censorship, outing tactics, career busting and mafioso-style implied gangsterish threats against family members. All they succeed in doing when they act like that is to expose their want of basic broughtupcy, and to highlight the utter moral bankruptcy of evolutionary materialism, due to its want of a worldview foundation IS adequate to ground OUGHT. Those who act like this, and those who harbour them or indulge in enabling passivity by not correcting them, or — worse — imagine that such misbehaviour is legitimate free comment, show just how bankrupt their thinking has become. From Plato in The Laws, Bk X, this issue of nihilistic factions driven by evolutionary materialist ideology has been a significant concern for the well-being of society.

I trust those who know just what I am speaking of, have enough conscience left to be ashamed. Let us further trust that they will now do better. (And if your conscience is too benumbed to be ashamed, that is a very bad sign.)

Okay, here is the post:

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I have just now commented in the recent thread on Dr Fuller’s thought, and think it useful to headline for record (especially given some continued abusive misbehaviour at Anti- Evo and linked sites that has come to my attention in recent days):
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>> Let me clip a few thought-sparker cites from Dr Steve Fuller:
“The failure of intelligent design theory to specify the intelligent designer constitutes both a rhetorical and an epistemological disadvantage…The epistemological disadvantage is subtler, namely, that intelligent design theory is unnecessarily forced to adopt an instrumentalist philosophy of science, whereby its theory is treated merely as a device for explaining particular phenomena (i.e. as products of intelligent design) without allowing inferences to the best explanation (i.e. the properties of the implied designer).” (171)
“I believe [it] is necessary [to] return to theology as the source of theoretical guidance on the nature of the intelligent designer (Fuller 2008a).” (171)
“In short, by studiously avoiding the appeal to theological arguments as part of their scientific explanations, intelligent design theorists only inhibit their own ability to meet the opposition of Neo-Darwinian apologists like Sober. Admittedly, making such appeals would mean not only re-opening old theological debates but also making them part of secular academic debate. A test of our collective intellectual maturity will lie in our ability to tolerate such a newly charged situation. But as it stands, intelligent design theory does itself no intellectual favours by keeping the identity of the intelligent designer as vague as Neo-Darwinians keep the identity of evolution, even if that practice appears justified as politically expedient.” (173) . . . .
“…[M]y own interest in promoting intelligent design in schools, which is much more positive than Johnson’s original worries about naturalism turning into an established religion. I actually believe that the deep theological roots of intelligent design theory provide a robust basis for perpetuating the radical spirit of inquiry that marks both philosophy and science at their best – not at their worst, as their collective response to intelligent design has put on public display (Fuller 2009b). As a true social constructivist (Fuller 2000b: Preface), I see myself as one of the constructors of intelligent design theory. I am not simply remarking from the sidelines about what others have done or are doing, as a historian or a journalist might. Rather I am making a front-line contribution to defining the theory’s identity.” (177)
“In terms of pedagogical implications, my support of intelligent design goes beyond merely requiring that students learn the history and philosophy of science alongside their normal studies. It involves reengineering the science curriculum so that its history and philosophy falls within its normal remit.” (180)
In my initial response, I first think that there is merit in raising the issues of phil of sci and what I guess could be called philosophy of nature, i.e. discourse on the relevant aspects of metaphysics etc. Also, relevant history of science and of ideas is key context. A familiarity with at least the sort of ideas on the nature and limitations of scientific knowledge that Newton discussed in his General Scholium and in Opticks, Query 31, will be a useful first nexus for all of this.

That said, I would look on the strengths and limitations of knowledge deriving from inductive inquiry (including abduction) and the inherent open-endedness of science as a consequence, as a powerful way to clear the air. There has been a miasma of scientism underwritten by implicit or explicit materialism and a grossly extrapolated and exaggerated view of the capacity of mechanisms of chance variation and differential reproductive success to innovate body plan level structures that has clouded clarity of thought and that has also created a highly polarised, ideology-driven atmosphere on scientific reconstruction of origins.

That is the sort of reason why some resort to hate sites, personal attacks, smears, outright slander and libel etc. Not to mention censorship, outing tactics, career busting and mafioso-style implied gangsterish threats against family members. All they succeed in doing when they act like that is to expose their want of basic broughtupcy, and to highlight the utter moral bankruptcy of evolutionary materialism, due to its want of a worldview foundation IS adequate to ground OUGHT. Those who act like this, and those who harbour them or indulge in enabling passivity by not correcting them, or — worse — imagine that such misbehaviour is legitimate free comment, show just how bankrupt their thinking has become. From Plato in The Laws, Bk X, this issue of nihilistic factions driven by evolutionary materialist ideology has been a significant concern for the well-being of society.

It is in that context that the sort of links from history of ideas to history issues raised by Weikart et al, become highly relevant.

But, as can be seen here, we are looking at phil context of scientific knowledge, and at broad, philosophically and historically informed questions of science in society. Worldviews and cultural agendas and issues.

By contrast, as we narrow focus to the logic of inductive warrant that makes certain ideas warranted as empirically reliable and useful so far, we can see that — again from Newton et al on — there is reasonable warrant for caution and what can be called, chastened or humbled realism that embraces some degree of instrumentalism in understanding scientific knowledge. Especially, on origins science matters where in reconstructing a remote and unobservable past we must rely on factual adequacy relating to traces of the past we can observe today and tested signs of adequate dynamics to produce explanations on a best current basis.
Where, instrumentalism can be set in relevant context with a clip from the Stanford Enc of Phil, article on Scientific Progress:
The instrumentalists follow Duhem in thinking that theories are merely conceptual tools for classifying, systematizing and predicting observational statements, so that the genuine content of science is not to be found on the level of theories (Duhem 1954). Scientific realists, by contrast, regard theories as attempts to describe reality even beyond the realm of observable things and regularities, so that theories can be regarded as statements having a truth value. Excluding naive realists, most scientists are fallibilists in Peirce’s sense: scientific theories are hypothetical and always corrigible in principle. They may happen to be true, but we cannot know this for certain in any particular case. But even when theories are false, they can be cognitively valuable if they are closer to the truth than their rivals (Popper 1963). Theories should be testable by observational evidence, and success in empirical tests gives inductive confirmation (Hintikka 1968; Niiniluoto and Tuomela 1973; Kuipers 2000) or non-inductive corroboration to the theory (Popper 1959).
It might seem natural to expect that the main rival accounts of scientific progress would be based upon the positions of instrumentalism and realism. But this is only partly true. To be sure, naive realists as a rule hold the accumulation-of-truths view of progress, and many philosophers combine the realist view of theories with the axiological thesis that truth is an important goal of scientific inquiry. A non-cumulative version of the realist view of progress can be formulated by using the notion of truthlikeness. But there are also philosophers who accept the possibility of a realist treatment of theories, but still deny that truth is a relevant value of science which could have a function in the characterization of scientific progress. Bas van Fraassen’s (1980) constructive empiricism takes the desideratum of science to be empirical adequacy: what a theory says about the observable should be true. The acceptance of a theory involves only the claim that it is empirically adequate, not its truth on the theoretical level. Van Fraassen has not developed an account of scientific progress in terms of his constructive empiricism, but presumably such an account would be close to empiricist notions of reduction and Laudan’s account of problem-solving ability (see Section 3.2).
An instrumentalist who denies that theories have truth values usually defines scientific progress by referring to other virtues theories may have, such as their increasing empirical success. In 1908 Duhem expressed this idea by a simile: scientific progress is like a mounting tide, where waves rise and withdraw, but under this to-and-fro motion there is a slow and constant progress. However, he gave a realist twist to his view by assuming that theories classify experimental laws, and progress means that the proposed classifications approach a “natural classification” (Duhem 1954).
Evolutionary epistemology is open to instrumentalist (Toulmin) and realist (Popper) interpretations. A biological approach to human knowledge naturally gives emphasis to the pragmatist view that theories function as instruments of survival. Darwinist evolution in biology is not goal-directed with a fixed forward-looking goal; rather, species adapt themselves to an ever changing environment. In applying this account to the problem of knowledge-seeking, the fitness of a theory can be taken to mean that the theory is accepted by members of the scientific community. But a realist can reinterpret the evolutionary model by taking fitness to mean the truth or truthlikeness of a theory . . .
There is a lot of room for debates in there, but it should be clear that scientific knowledge is inescapably provisional and that inductive reasoning is only capable of a weak form warrant. Inductive knowledge claims are not certain beyond correction. And, it is fair comment to note that different scientific claims come with differing degrees of corroboration and differing degrees of openness to empirical testing. So, as we are less and less open to testing, and as the degree of warrant decreases, we would be well advised to hold claims with a lesser degree of certitude. In particular, the notion of a general authority of Science that gives an imprimatur of practical certainty to dominant theories is — for good reason — highly suspect.

In that context, I would hold that the design inference explanatory filter (addressed per aspect of a phenomenon or object etc) — and/or its equivalent in mathematically structured models of complex specified information — is a legitimate approach to inferring cause on a best explanation basis, in contexts where we do not have direct access to observe the causal process in action. It is interesting in this context to see the objections often made, that there is no independent access to the inferred designer so the inference can be dismissed and denigrated. This of course is ideologically loaded and begs the question that the reason why we are inferring is that we need to see what inferred cause is best adequate, given that we did not and often cannot observe the actual causal process at work. In short, the objection is self-serving and selectively hyperskeptical.
But to infer cause by design as process or mechanism, is manifestly not to infer the identity or personal characteristics of the designer. One may infer arson as cause of a fire without knowing the culprit. Of course, that inferred deed may suggest a moral characteristic, but that is a question of motives.

My broader point is that design as process is separable as a matter of inductive investigation, from the identity or characteristics of the candidate designers in question. All that a design inference requires is a sufficiently open mind that is willing to accept the possibility of design — not ruling it out a priori — and a willingness to accept that various causal processes tend to leave characteristic signs that can be tested and warranted as reliable signs of design. With a growing toolbox of relevant techniques and signs in hand, one has a perfect epistemic right to infer the causal process on the observed sign.

One may then wish to debate characteristics of candidate designers, but that is a further exercise.

Where prof Fuller is quite right to be concerned, is the point that what is happening is that an institutionally dominant ideological school — we can term it a priori evolutionary materialist scientism — is trying to censor the reasonable process of inference in the interests of their school. So, ironically, they have made the penumbra of issues and concerns above highly relevant to a fair evaluation of scientific practice, science education, and to science, society and good citizenship concerns.

In particular as we see science professors championing atheism in the name of science — never mind the sophomoric bluster typically involved — and as we see them embracing, using, enabling and harbouring nihilistic, amoral, might/manipulation makes ‘right’ tactics and as we see them championing the ill-considered distortion of foundational societal and cultural institutions, they are the best argument as to why evolutionary materialistic scientism and secular humanism are intellectually and morally bankrupt and a positive danger to the well-being of our civilisation.

So, we do have to set science in the context of ideas and issues, and in the wider context of impact on society. But, I still think that the inference to design as cause is properly distinct from that wider connexion. Sufficiently so, that we may undertake a technical inquiry as to how well warranted the design inference is. The answer to that is actually blatant: very well warranted indeed, especially as we focus on functionally specific complex organisation and associated information [FSCO/I], the relevant form of CSI. Especially where the info is in the form of digitally coded algorithmic or linguistic symbol strings.

That is why many thoughtful people hold and will continue to hold for the foreseeable future, that C-chemistry, aqueous medium cell based life that pivots on DNA is designed. The supportive, fine tuned physics of the observed cosmos that supports that also warrants a design inference. So does the information-centric nature of body plans and key features of life forms, like the bird lung or wing and the human vocal apparatus and language ability.

We are not going away, and we are not perverse or perverted to hold such views. The resort to slander-laced smears, cruel mockery, outing tactics and threats against careers or family simply underscores the moral bankruptcy and ill-will of objectors who resort to such, or passively enable or harbour such.

We are here, we are qualified to address scientific and linked phil, history of ideas and societal issues. We have good reason to call for reform in science, in the academy, in education, in the media, and in society. We are not going away, and we will stoutly defend our reputations, careers, families and civilisation against such ideologically motivated bully-boy tactics.

And, at length, we will prevail.>>

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Since this is a comment in a fresh thread, I encourage comments there, and comments will be disabled here.

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A response to issues, and in light of recent bully-boy tactics at hostile sites. END